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題名 | 臺灣開放農產品期貨市場後毛豬及稻米產品市場穩定性之探討=A Study of Hog and Rice Market Stability After Opening the Future Market of Taiwan's Agricultural Products |
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作者 | 許應哲; | 書刊名 | 嘉義技術學院學報 |
卷期 | 56 1998.02[民87.02] |
頁次 | 頁65-72 |
分類號 | 561.76 |
關鍵詞 | 毛豬; 稻米; 期貨市場; 市場穩定性; Hog; Rice; Future market; Market stability; |
語文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 我國在加入WTO之後,即將面臨國內市場開放的壓力,像期貨市場就是開放市場 的一種變革(型式),而開放本省農產品期貨市場之後,有那些產品會受到衝擊,這是大家 都很關心的,想回答這個問題,就必須先瞭解相關產品在開放期貨市場後的穩定性。我們 利用「時差數量法」來估算毛豬及稻米的穩定程度,結果發現在受到衝擊之後,本省毛豬 是呈收斂型,而稻米市場是呈發散型,而發散型因無法達到供需均衡點,必然會有很大的 無謂損失發生,因此其市場結構一定要有所改變。 |
英文摘要 | It has been a pressing trend to open domestic markets under the WTO's ruling. To joint the WTO, Taiwan must open it's domestic market to the world. As the future market is a form of opening market, what then will be the impact of opening Taiwan's agriculture future market? To answer this question, we tested the market stability for opening the future markets of Taiwan's agricultural goods. Applying the condition of time lag market stability to the Taiwan's rice and hog future markets, we found that under a demand (or supply) shock, Talwan's hog future market will converge but rice' s future market will diverge. When market is unstable, policy change merits careful consideration since the deadweight loss is huge and an equilibrium will not be reached under the free market. A market structural change may be necessary. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。