查詢結果分析
來源資料
頁籤選單縮合
題 名 | The US LNG Export--A Big Gamble for the Global Energy Market=美國液化天然氣出口,全球能源市場一場豪賭 |
---|---|
作 者 | 呂錫民; 呂錫民; | 書刊名 | 臺灣鑛業 |
卷 期 | 70:1 2018.03[民107.03] |
頁 次 | 頁1-19 |
分類號 | 457.8 |
關鍵詞 | 美國; 液化天然氣; 頁岩氣; 出口; LNG; United States of America; Liquefied natural gas; Shale gas; Export; |
語 文 | 英文(English) |
中文摘要 | 近年來,各國致力於天然氣的開發,全球因為液化天然氣(LNG)供給的大量增加,LNG逐漸向買方市場傾斜,LNG價格自然有所變動,剛性且長期(如:Take or Pay、20-25年)的合約類型逐漸不再適用。在低價與低利潤的天然氣態勢上,美國不一定是贏家,最大的受益者應該是東亞國家,例如,日本、韓國、臺灣、以及像中國、印度等潛在的大買家,這對於東亞國家競爭力的全球排名會帶來調整。雖然頁岩氣革命的成功,然而,依據數據顯示,美國LNG的出口是不可能改變世界能源格局,美國要想成為世界上最大的LNG輸出國幾乎是不可能,但在短期內將對LNG價格產生抑制的效果。長期來說,在中國和印度兩大LNG買家的需求增長下,油氣價格或將回穩。 |
英文摘要 | In recent years, thanks to the rapid development of global natural gas, LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) business has gradually moved to the buyer's side. The LNG prices have been changed, due to the large increase of supply. The pattern of "rigid and long-term (20-25 years, take or pay)" contracts is no longer suitable. In the low-price and low-profit situations in the natural gas market, the United States might not be the winner. However, the East Asian countries, such as Japan, South Korea and Taiwan should be the biggest beneficiaries. On the other hand, Mainland China and India, the potentially big buyers, are winners too. The low prices of LNG will promote the global competitiveness rankings of the East Asian countries. According to data, the US LNG exports will not change the global energy structure. It is almost impossible for the United States to become the largest LNG exporting country in the world, but it will have a short-term effect on the inhibition of LNG prices. In the long-term, the oil and gas prices should be limited under the demand growths of two major LNG buyers, namely, Mainland China and India. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。