查詢結果分析
來源資料
頁籤選單縮合
題 名 | 試論美國LNG出口--改變全球油氣平衡的豪賭=Analysis& Comments of US LNG Exports--The Gambling of Want to Change Global Balance of Oil and Gas Market |
---|---|
作 者 | 蕭慕俊; 陳育威; 邱垂昱; | 書刊名 | 石油季刊 |
卷 期 | 53:3 2017.09[民106.09] |
頁 次 | 頁133-153 |
分類號 | 486.5 |
關鍵詞 | 頁岩氣; 液化天然氣; 天然氣; 裝運港船上交貨; 百萬英熱單位; 10億立方英尺; 美國能源訊息局; Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries; OPEC; Brent crude oil; WTI crude oil; Liquefied natural gas; LNG; U.S. Energy Information Administration; EIA; Million British thermal unit; mmBtu; Billion cubic feet; BCF; Btu; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 近年來,各國致力於天然氣的開發,全球因液化天然氣(簡稱:LNG)供給的大量增加,LNG 逐步向買方市場傾斜,LNG 價格自然有所變動,剛性且長期(如:Take or Pay、20~25 年)的合約類型逐漸不再適用。在低價與低利潤的天然氣態勢上,美國不一定是贏家,最大的受益者應該是東亞國家,如:日本、韓國,以及像中國大陸與印度等潛在的大買家,這對於東亞國家競爭力的全球排名會帶來調整。依數據顯示,美國LNG 的出口是不可能改變世界能源格局,美國要想成為世界上最大的LNG 輸出國幾乎是不可能,但在短期內將對LNG價格將產生抑制的效果,長期來說,在中國大陸和印度兩大LNG 買家的需求增長,油氣價格或將會回穩。 |
英文摘要 | In recent years, LNG has gradually moved to the buyer's market due to the rapidly development of global natural gas. The LNG prices have been changed due to the large increase in the supply of liquefied natural gas (LNG). The type of rigid and long-term (20 to 25 years, take or pay) contracts will no longer be suitable. The United States may not be the winner in the low-cost and low-margin natural gas situation. The East Asian countries, such as Japan, South Korea, should be the biggest beneficiaries. The Mainland China and India, the potential big buyers, is are winners too. The low price of LNG will bring about a global ranking of East Asian countries' competitiveness. According to the data shown, the US LNG exports are impossible to change the world's energy structure. The United States wants to become the world's largest LNG exporting country is almost impossible, but it will have the effect of inhibition on the LNG price in the short term. In the long run, oil and gas prices should be limited under the growth of demand for two major LNG buyers, the Mainland China and India. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。