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題名 | Party Realignment or Dealignment﹖--American Political Parties in the 1980s=政黨重組或鬆散﹖1980年代的美國政黨 |
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作者姓名(中文) | 陳恆鈞; | 書刊名 | 淡江人文社會學刊 |
卷期 | 1 1998.05[民87.05] |
頁次 | 頁269-286 |
分類號 | 576.52 |
關鍵詞 | 分裂選票; 重組; 獨立; 選民鬆散; 黨派; Dealignment; Independents; Partisanship; Realignment; Split-ticket voting; |
語文 | 英文(English) |
中文摘要 | 政黨認同對美國選民投票具有決定性的影響。然而,最近選舉結果顯示,黨派的 影響力正在持續減弱。有鑑於此,當共和黨連續在1980年代贏得總統選舉,學者對於黨員 改變便持有不同的見解。部分學者認為美國正進行另一次的政黨重組。而另一部份學者卻認 為共和黨的勝利只是另一個政黨鬆散的結果。藉著探討政黨重組與鬆散理論,本文指出在 1980年代兩大黨間的黨員平衡存有鬆散的趨勢。但是,我們並未能確定,政黨關係的疏遠 將是政黨持續鬆散的表徵。如果政黨適切地改變處理公共事務的方式並提出合宜政策,它們 將能恢復昔日地位。雖是如此,我們可以確定在1980年代所發生的種種事件顯示著美國政 黨在衰微中。很顯然的,不論下一個年代是屬於民主黨抑或是共和黨,以候選人取代政黨為 中心的選舉將會持續一段時日。 |
英文摘要 | Party identification in the U.S. has a decisive influence on voter choice. However, the evidence of national elections shows that influence of partisanship has been weakening in recent decades. In this sense, when the Republicans repeatedly won the presidency in the 1980s, scholars have different explantations about partisan change. Some scholars debate that America is experiencing another party realignment. Anyhow, other scholars argue that the Republican success is just another result of party dealignment. By analyzing the theory of party realignment and dealignment, this study indicates the partisan balance between Democrats and Republicans in the 1980s was due for dealignment. Yet, we can not say for sure whether the decline of party affiliation signals permanent party dealignment. If the parties can properly change their ways of conducting public affairs and put forward policy alternatives, they can be as strong as ever. Nevertheless, one thing is certain, that is, all that occurred in the U.S. represents party decline. Apparently, the candidate- instead of party- centered age will last for a while, no matter whether the next political era will be a Democratic or Republican one. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。