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題 名 | 財政宣告、理性預期與經濟動態=Fiscal Announcements, Rational Expectations and Economic Dynamics |
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作 者 | 吳致寧; 鄭舜勳; | 書刊名 | 人文及社會科學集刊 |
卷 期 | 6:1 1993.12[民82.12] |
頁 次 | 頁113-139 |
分類號 | 563.57 |
關鍵詞 | 財政宣告; 理性預期; 經濟動態; 政府支出; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 本文將政府部門引入King, Plosser與Rebelo(1988)之新古典成長模型中並以此 探討預期與非預期之恆常性與臨時性政府支出的效果。最後由模擬分析知政府支出在政策實 行期間對投資有明顯的排擠效果,然此效果將因技術進步而減弱,此外人們對風險的態度亦 明顯的影響各內生變數的波動幅度。 |
英文摘要 | This paper extends King, Plosser and Rebelo (1988) to include a government sector and discusses the effects of permanent and transitory government spending which are either anticipated or unanticipated. Results from dynamic simulations point out that government spending has significant crowding-out effects on investment during the execution period, but its magnitude decreases if technology improvement in production is concerned. The paper also concludes that the altitude toward risk has significant impacts on the dynamic transition of endogenous variables in the system. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。