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題名 | 臺灣紙類消費量季節變動與預測 |
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作者 | 任憶安; | 書刊名 | 林產工業 |
卷期 | 9:4 1990.12[民79.12] |
頁次 | 頁51-55 |
分類號 | 476 |
關鍵詞 | 季節; 消費量; 紙類; 預測; 臺灣; |
語文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 從1976年至1989年,台灣紙類消費量加以分析。發現台灣紙類消費量有明顯的季節性變動。由第一季到第二季為正成長,第二季到第三季正成長機率仍大於負成長。由第三季以後則難判斷。這種季節性與週期性的盛衰可能與台灣工業生產及出口情形有關。以本季消費量為自變數而下一季消費量為應變數之廻歸模式亦多為顯著,進一步有待研究各類用紙消費量之變異情形。 |
英文摘要 | The quarterly figures of paper and paperboard consumption in Taiwan during the period of 1976 - 1989 was studied. Differences between the current and the next quarters were positive from the first to the second quarter and from the second quarter to the third quarter with high probability, but were not clear from the third quarter to the fourth quarter and from the fourth quarter to the next first quarter. The explanation could be that the amount of paper and paperboard consumption reflected the demands of packaging material for industrial commodity and exportation. Regression model for the next quarter consumption based on the current quarter consumption was successful in all four quarters. It may be desirable to study further the quarterly variation pattern of different kinds of paper products. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。