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| 題 名 | 《左傳》《國語》筮例預測功能研究--以信度與效度概念檢視之=A Study on the Predictive Function of Divination Cases in "Zuo Zhuan" and "Guoyu"--Examined by the Concepts of Reliability and Validity |
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| 作 者 | 洪鎰昌; | 書刊名 | 當代通識 |
| 卷 期 | 7 2025.06[民114.06] |
| 頁 次 | 頁96-114 |
| 分類號 | 091 |
| 關鍵詞 | 易經諮商; 卜筮; 易經; 左傳; 國語; I-Ching counseling; Divination; I-Ching; Zuo-Zhuan; Guo-Yu; |
| 語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
| 中文摘要 | 本研究以《左傳》、《國語》筮例,作為文獻分析的樣本,並以 現代社會科學「信度」(reliability)與「效度」(validity)的概念加 以檢視。研究結果顯示,卜筮在工具操作與結果的穩定性上,呈現 低信度;而筮例在占卦結果與現實發展,兩者之間具有真確性,呈 現高效度。故當後現代諮商以易占作為晤談媒介時,不宜作為客觀 預測的工具,但適合作為「主觀驗證」(Subjective Validation)之 用,即作為探討問卦者參考架構(Frame of Reference)的媒介。易 占現代發展與運用的方向,宜將低信度的神諭議題與現象「存而不 論」(Epoché),進而發展高效度的占者占卦。一旦問者自行占卦, 必然連結並陳述自己的主訴與問題,進而達到「問題外化」 (externalizing problems)的作用。當事人將自己與問題暫時分開, 進而審視、釐清自己在事件中的處境與關係。於是卜筮提供當事人 卜以決疑、尋求認同,以及與外界討論自己問題的心理諮商歷程與 效用,而此一效用的理論基礎實可根源於古代筮例。 |
| 英文摘要 | This study uses the cases of divination in "Zuo Zhuan" and "Guoyu" as samples for literature analysis. Examine it with the concepts of reliability and validity in modern social sciences. The research results show that divination has low reliability in terms of tool operation and stability of results; while in terms of divination results and realistic development, there is authenticity and high efficiency between the two. Therefore, when postmodern consultation uses divination as a medium of negotiation, it is not suitable as a tool for objective prediction, but it is suitable as a medium for subjective validation, that is, a medium for the presentation of the parties' intentions. For the development of I-Ching Counseling, it no longer uses divination to predict the future, but rather develops efficient interpretations of hexagrams. Once the parties interpret the divination results on their own, they will inevitably connect and state their demands and problems, thus achieving the effect of externalizing problems. The parties involved temporarily separate themselves from the problem, and then examine and clarify their own situation and relationship in the incident. Therefore, divination provides the client with a psychological consultation process and utility in seeking recognition and discussing his or her problems with the outside world. The theoretical basis of this utility can actually be traced back to ancient divination cases. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。