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| 題 名 | 混迷を深める中国経済--経済情勢と政策動向に関する考察=動盪加劇的中國經濟--經濟情勢與政策走勢的相關考察、China's Economy in Turmoil: Consideration of the Economic Situation and Policy Trends |
|---|---|
| 作 者 | 內藤二郎; | 書刊名 | 問題と研究 |
| 卷 期 | 53:2 2024.06[民113.06] |
| 頁 次 | 頁1-41 |
| 專 輯 | 習近平第三任政府的內外情勢 |
| 分類號 | 552.2 |
| 關鍵詞 | 總體經濟趨勢; 長期停滯風險; 經濟政策; 改革課題; マクロ経済動向; 長期停滞リスク; 経済政策; Macroeconomic trends; Risk of prolonged stagnation; Economic policy; Reform challenges; |
| 語 文 | 日文(Japanese) |
| DOI | 10.30391/ISJ.202406_53(2).0001 |
| 中文摘要 | 中國經濟放緩的趨勢益發顯著,外界對於中國經濟將進入長期低迷的憂心日益強烈。低迷的不動產市場以及正在發生的通縮等經濟情勢加劇整體情況的動盪,從美中對抗開始,中國對外關係的不穩定也出現長期化的趨勢,即將面臨高度成長告終,進入全新發展階段的中國經濟,成為能否維持經濟成長與穩定的最主要制約要素。總體經濟政策的實際運作,也讓人憂心是否出現限制發展的情況。另一方面,作為根本性課題的經濟結構改革,因應愈趨嚴峻的少子高齡化現象的策略、加上避免陷入長期低迷的對策,是目前當務之急。進入第三任期的習近平政權,被迫採取實施嚴厲的政策。當前外界強烈要求,中國須修正因權力集中造成的政策僵化,矯正政策實施上的失誤,須具體表現與國際社會合作且彈性調整的態度,並完善公平.公正的市場環境。習近平政權除了對內對外皆須明確釋放將進行徹底改革的意向,保持言行一致,持續徹底採取具體措施之外,並無其他能將中國經濟導回正軌的方法。 |
| 英文摘要 | The slowdown in the Chinese economy is intensifying, and there are growing concerns that the economy may enter a prolonged slump. The economic situation is becoming increasingly chaotic, with a sluggish real estate market and ongoing deflation, while prolonged instability in external relations, including the U.S.-China confrontation, is a major constraint on the growth and stability of the Chinese economy, which has entered a new stage of development after its rapid growth came to an end. There are concerns that the actual macroeconomic policies tend to be restrained. The Xi Jinping administration, now in its third term, has been forced to manage its policies harshly. There is a strong need to correct policy rigidity caused by the concentration of power, to correct policy lapses, to demonstrate a concrete stance toward international cooperation and coordination, and to develop a fair and equitable market environment. There is no other way to put China’s economy on a recovery track other than to continue to make clear the will for drastic reform to both inside and outside the country, to be consistent in words and deeds, and to thoroughly implement concrete measures. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。