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題名 | 分析式兵棋理論與模型綜述:探討數學模式與模擬方法=Mathematical Models and Simulation Methods Review in Analytical Computer Wargaming |
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作者 | 劉達生; | 書刊名 | 戰略與評估 |
卷期 | 13:2 2024.01[民113.01] |
頁次 | 頁33-65 |
分類號 | 592.1 |
關鍵詞 | 分析式兵棋; 模式模擬; 數學模式; 模擬; Analytical wargaming; Modeling and simulation; Mathematical models; Simulation; |
語文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 本文探討分析式電腦兵棋理論與模型,重點介紹數學模型與模擬方 法。分析式兵棋以量化分析評估武器系統性能、戰術、策略或作戰概念, 為決策者提供數據和建議。首先闡述物件、模型,與系統之間的關係, 解釋模式模擬意涵。內容分為數學模式介紹與模擬方法探討。數學模式 包含馬可夫鏈、藍徹斯特方程式、適應性作戰模型、定量判定模式以及 理查森軍備競賽模型。模擬方法包括離散事件模擬、系統動力學,與多 代理人模擬。綜合運用這些方法可以提高建模彈性,應對複雜問題,最 後概述模擬研究流程。本文旨在協助軍事研究人員和戰術分析人員應對 複雜戰場環境。 |
英文摘要 | This article delves into analytical wargaming theories and models, with an emphasis on mathematical models and simulation techniques. Analytical wargaming uses quantitative analysis to assess the performance of weapon systems, tactics, strategies, and operational concepts, offering valuable data and insights for decision-makers. The article first clarifies the connections among objects, models, and systems, while explaining the significance of model simulations. The content is divided into two main sections: an introduction to mathematical models and a discussion of various simulation methods. The mathematical models covered include Markov chains, Lanchester equations, Adaptive Model of War, Quantified Judgement Model, and Richardson arms race models. The simulation techniques encompass Discrete Event Simulation, System Dynamics, and Agent-Based Simulation. By integrating these methods, modeling flexibility is enhanced, and complex problems can be tackled effectively. Lastly, the article outlines the overall simulation research process. Its primary goal is to support military researchers and tactical analysts in navigating the intricate landscape of modern battlefields. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。