查詢結果分析
來源資料
頁籤選單縮合
題 名 | 「單一選區兩票制」選舉區劃分之研究:南投縣立法委員選舉個案探討=The Research for District Division under the Single-Member Districts and Two Votes System: Nantou County 2007 Legislator's Election Case Study |
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作 者 | 黃國敏; | 書刊名 | 中華行政學報 |
卷 期 | 5 2008.06[民97.06] |
頁 次 | 頁55-77 |
分類號 | 573.33 |
關鍵詞 | 單記非讓渡投票制; 單一選區兩票制; 南投縣; SNTV; Single-member districts and two votes system; Nantou county; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 過去五十多年來,我國民意代表選舉係採「單記非讓渡投票制」(Single Non-Transferable Vote System; SNTV),依照此一舊制泛藍在南投縣約可當選二席立法委員,泛綠在南投縣約可當選二席立法委員。九十七年將舉行的第七屆立法委員選舉,根據中央選舉委員會的劃分規定,南投縣分為二個選區各選出一席立法委員。依照此一新制,可能的結果是藍綠各取一席,但也可能二席均由藍軍勝選,鹿死誰手實難逆料。賴進貴、葉高華與張智昌指出南投縣的Moran's I為0.4758,標準化的Z (I)為13.34,顯示南投縣具有強烈的地域差異,政治支持對象明顯顯著偏綠,屬泛綠聚集地區,惟本文分析結果顯示南投縣應屬泛藍稍強地區。衡諸本文選舉前所作得票率與當選者的預測,相當符合九十七年一月十二日第七屆立法委員選舉之結果。 |
英文摘要 | The SNTV system had been adopted in Taiwan for the past 50 and more years. According to this old electoral institution, the Pan-blue parties can win 2 seats, while the Pan-green parties can win 2 seats in the Congressional election in Nantou County. However, Nantou County had been divided into 2 districts by the Central Election Committee in 2007. According to the new system, KMT and DPP could win one seat respective, or the Pan-blue parties can win the whole 2 seats if they operate well. The two results are more possible in the final electoral outcome in Nantou County. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。