頁籤選單縮合
題 名 | 九一一事件後的中亞情勢=The Central Asia after September 11th Events |
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作 者 | 張錫模; | 書刊名 | 國際事務季刊 |
卷 期 | 2 民91.春 |
頁 次 | 頁82-102 |
專 輯 | 九一一事件後的國際新局勢 |
分類號 | 578.1935 |
關鍵詞 | 中亞; 反恐戰爭; 新大競賽; 虛弱國家; Central Asia; War on terrorism; New great game; Weak state; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 九一一事件與美國的反恐戰爭,改變了中亞地緣政治經濟「新大競賽」的面貌,導致「上海合作組織」角色降低,而美俄合作則在短期內更趨緊密,並因此給予中亞諸國趁機以反恐為名升高對內鎮壓。在域外強權中,俄羅斯將扮演最關鍵的角色。而在內部因素中,虛弱國家的症候群與領導人繼承問題,將對中亞將產生極為負面的作用,並因此給予域外強權介入中亞諸國內部事務的更大空間。這些變數的相互連結,預示著中亞政治的不安前景。 |
英文摘要 | The terror attack on 11th September and the ensuing War on Terrorism launched by the United States have brought about the geopolitical reconfiguration in Central Asia that results in the decline of the role of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the expansion of Russia's influence in Central Asia. In the local context, the leaders of Central Asian Republics exploit this opportunity to reinforce their domestic control by crashing the opporsitions in the name of the War on Terrorism. But the full-scale crackdown could not cure the "Weak State" syndromes that would be deteriorated by the coming crisis of the succession struggle and give the great powers more opportunities to manipulate the Central Asian Republics. The new stage of the "New Great Game" would not bring Central Asia peace and prosperity. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。