查詢結果分析
來源資料
頁籤選單縮合
題 名 | 臺北縣長候選人社會福利議題德菲技巧評估與候選人得票率關聯性分析=Correlation Study of Voting Behavior of Taipei County Magistrate and Social Welfare Agenda--The Use of Delphi Technique |
---|---|
作 者 | 楊孝濚; | 書刊名 | 選舉研究 |
卷 期 | 6:1 1999.05[民88.05] |
頁 次 | 頁1-30 |
分類號 | 573.36 |
關鍵詞 | 社會福利議題; 德斐技巧; 沉默螺旋理論; Social welfare; Delphi technique; Silent spring theory; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 本研究是以議題〔議程〕設定理論和沉默螺旋理論來驗證出臺北縣選民對六位臺 北縣縣長候選人的投票行為。本研究亦利用德斐技巧法來預測出臺北縣選民的投票傾向,從 本研究的發現之中,充分顯示不但議題成為臺北縣選民的投票行為主要指標,本研究亦驗證 出臺北縣選民不願將本身選票作無意義的浪費,關鍵選票的轉移證實沈默螺旋理論成為決定 勝負的關鍵理論,值得在未來研究中作更進一步的探討。本研究亦驗證德斐技巧法是有高度 正確的預測性,未來研究可更廣泛運用。 |
英文摘要 | Agenda Setting theory and Silent Spring theory along with other communication theories were used in this study to predict the voting patten among six candidates of Taipei county magistrate election. Delphi techniques was also used in this study to predict the final outcome of this election. The major finding of this study indicated the voters of Taipei county using agenda of six county major candidates as the majistrate consideration toward their voting behavior. The voters also involved deeply into election campaigns to allocated their votes toward one candidate to help this candidate to win the election. Silent Spring theory was proved in this Taipei county magistrate election in this study. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。