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來源資料
頁籤選單縮合
題名 | Political Development, Political Conflict, and Regulation Policies=政治發展、政治衝突和規範政策 |
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作者姓名(中文) | 黃國敏; | 書刊名 | 中國行政評論 |
卷期 | 6:3 1997.06[民86.06] |
頁次 | 頁95-134 |
分類號 | 570 |
關鍵詞 | 政治發展; 政治衝突; |
語文 | 英文(English) |
中文摘要 | 本文以實證分析和模擬模型深入研討政治發展、政治衝突及其規範政策間之關係 。 相關資料取自 A. Banks 所編 "Time-series Cross-national" 資料檔和 Taylor and Jodice 所編〞政治和社會指標世界手冊 III 〞資料檔。模擬模型敏感性分析顯示政治發展 是一不可忽視之重要變項。 研究結果與 Huntington (1968) 不謀而合。易言之,政治發展 和政治暴力的關係呈倒 U 型。 在低度或高度發展的政治系統少有革命,但在發展中的系統 則屢見不鮮。而政治發展和抗議行為的關係是正相關;政治發展愈高,抗議行為愈多。但政 治發展與政府鎮壓行為是負相關, 此一發現與 Gurr and Lichbach (1986), Henderson (1991) 和 Ziegenhagen (1994) 相吻合。政治發展與政治規範機制則是正相關。 最後,愈 高度發展的系統是以極少使用鎮壓和處理政治暴力的手腕著稱。 |
英文摘要 | What are the relationships among political development, political conflict and attempts to regulate political conflict? I approach this question from both empirical analyses and a simulation model in order to better understand the interactive relationships. The relevant data are extracted from the "Time-series Cross-national Data archive" constructed by A. Banks, and the "World Handbook of Political and Social Indicator III" constructed by Taylor and Jodice. The tentative result of the sensitivity analysis of the simulation model shows that political development does matter. Its findings support Huntington (1968). That is, the relationship of political development and political violence is an inverse U-curve. Insurgency is minor in the less developed and highly developed systems, but it occurs most often in the developing systems. The relationship of political development and protest is positive; the higher the political development, the more the protest behaviors. However, the correlation of political development and sanctions is negative. This finding supports Gurr and Lichbach (1986), Henderson (1991), and Ziegenhagen(1994). Yet, the relationship of political development and sanction apparatus is positive. Finally, the highly developed systems are distinguished by their limited use of sanctions and by their ability to handle political violence. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。