頁籤選單縮合
題名 | A System Analysis of Air Pollution and Economic Structure: Taiwan Case=空氣污染物與經濟結構之系統分析--臺灣地區實例 |
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作者 | 王鴻濬; | 書刊名 | 管理與系統 |
卷期 | 3:1 1996.01[民85.01] |
頁次 | 頁95-115 |
分類號 | 445.9 |
關鍵詞 | 國民生產毛額; 投入產出模型; 空氣污染物; GNP; Input-output model; Air pollutants; |
語文 | 英文(English) |
中文摘要 | 環境污染與使用能源的經濟生產間的互動關係長久以來都缺乏一個整 合性的研究。本研究以投入產出模型,分析台灣現有的經濟產業結構與五種主要 空氣汙染物的關係。五種汙染物在公元2000年排放總量以假設的不同GNP成長率; 分別是2,4,6,8,以及推估的最終消費在模型中加以推估。根據本研究投入產 出模型計算,環保署在1992年對公元2000年台灣地區所做的硫氧化物 (SOx)與氮 氧化物 (NOx)的推估值大約有18-29與0-13的低估現象。此外,才研究亦建議空氣 汙染物減量的替代方案,包括全部29種產業的減量計畫,實施的可能成本,與主 要三個汙染產業的減量計畫,以及依照各種替代方案推估的空氣汙染減量結果。 本研究建議合理的GNP成長可以使空氣汙染的成長趨勢減緩。在空氣汙染日益嚴 重的今日,如何尋找產業發展與環境保護之間的平衡點,將是環境與經濟政策的 重要課題。 |
英文摘要 | Integrated studies of environmental pollution and economic activities of energy consumptionin Taiwan have been largely ignored. This research provided information complied from many sources, reorganized, interpreted, and used to create new projections and alternatives available for policy makers. An extended form of the Leontief input-output model is employed for projecting major air pollutants' trends and providing emission reduction alternatives, based on current economic structure. On the basis of GNP growth rate assumptions, this research suggests that the Taiwanese EPA figures of SOx and NOx emissions in 2000 are underestimated, from 18 to 29 for SOx emission and 0 to 13 for NOx. Reduction options in terms of their emission control rates and possible administration costs are demonstrated by assuming a uniform emission decrease on each sector and decrease on the three largest polluters. To counter the projected upward trends in air pollution levels, a balanced economic environmental plan is needed which will limit emissions while allowing for some positive economicgro with, probably at a lower rate than currently envisaged by the Taiwanese government. This researcher commends a 6 GNP growth rate annually during 1989 to 2000 while decreasing the quantities of SOx and NOx by 7.8 and 8.3, respectively in the year 2000. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。