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題名 | 臺灣區域性住宅價格模式之建立=Modeling Regional Housing Prices in Taiwan |
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作者 | 林秋瑾; Lin, Vickey C. C.; |
期刊 | 政大地政學報 |
出版日期 | 19961200 |
卷期 | 1:1 1996.12[民85.12] |
頁次 | 頁29-49 |
分類號 | 554.89 |
語文 | chi |
關鍵詞 | 區域性房價; 長期均衡關係; 短期之動態關係; 房價區隔關係; 漣漪效果; 擴散效果; Regional housing prices; Long-run equilibrium relationship; Short-run dynamic relationship; Segmentation of housing prices; Ripple effect; Diffusion effect; |
中文摘要 | 住宅價格的變化無論在總體或個體層次皆為臺灣住宅市場重要的課題。過去的文獻,大多集中於總體層面之房價計量模式分析,此結果對於動態之區域性房價分析應用幫助不大。此外,透過房價所反應之區域性房屋成本之變化,對於勞動市場分析探討更顯重要。 本文首先擬觀察臺灣區域間動態房價之長期均衡關係,然後再檢視其較短期之動態關係。藉由觀察結果分析下列之課題為本文擬研究之主要動機: (一)臺灣區域房價是否存在穩定的長期均衡關係? (二)臺灣各區域間,尤其是南北地區間是否存在房價區隔關係? (三)臺灣區域間房價之「漣漪效果」存在嗎?也就是說某一地區之房價變動如何影響其他地區之房價? 受制於資料收集之困難,本文僅以住宅價格指數的年資料,檢視區域間的房價關係。 主要將以統計分析來了解區域間房價之現況,並且應用一些新的計量經濟檢定之技術來分析。本文也將檢視大多數人有興趣的臺北市房價變動之擴散效果。 |
英文摘要 | The movement of housing prices is a crucial issue in the housing market whether in the macro or micro level. The previous research was focued on econometric model analysis of housing prices in aggregation level, consequently it contributed a little help to the application or dynamic regional housing prices analysis. Besides, the change of regional housing cost to the labor market is especially significant. This paper observes the long-run equilibrium relationship of the regional dynamic housing prices of Taiwan. The major objective of this paper is by means of the results of the observation to analyze the following issues: (1)Is there existence of stable long-run equilibrium relationship between the regional housing prices? (2)Are there segmentation of housing prices within regions of Taiwan, especially between north and south territory? (3)Is there existence of "ripple effect" in the regional housing prices in Taiwan? That is, how the housing prices variation in certain areas affect the housing prices of other areas. Being restricted by the difficulty of data collection; this paper is based on annually basic housing price index to check the prices relationship between regions. Our analysis facilitated statistical analysis to view the present status of regional housing prices, and applied new econometric testing technology for analysis. We also look into the diffusion effect of housing prices movement of Taipei area which are interested by majority. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。