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題名 | 日據時代以來臺灣地區人口年齡組成之變遷:1905-1979=Changes in the Age Composition of the Taiwan Population, 1905-1979 |
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作 者 | 陳寬政; 葉天鋒; 葉天鋒; 陳寬政; | 書刊名 | 國立臺灣大學人口學刊 |
卷期 | 6 1983.05[民72.05] |
頁次 | 頁99-114 |
分類號 | 516.6 |
關鍵詞 | 日據時代; 臺灣; 年齡組成; 人口組成; 生育率; 人口老化; 人口變遷; 1905-1979; |
語文 | 中文(Chinese) |
英文摘要 | This paper attempts to describe the dynamics of population change in Taiwan since 1905. It is found that the population growth during the past seventy years has effected cyclical shifts in the age composition of the population. Before the war, the age composition shifted toward the young end with the proportion of young surviving children enlarged. Then after the war, the age composition shifted back to the old end indicating the shrinkage of the proportion. It is suggested that the changes in age composition can be attributed to the trend of mortality decline since the early twenties. In other words, we argue that the mortality decline had a larger effect on the surviving of young children than the other age groups. With a controlled population model proposed by Ronald D. Lee, we show that the fertility decline, which effected in the upward turnning of the age composition after the war, is simply a response to the mortality decline with a time lag of about twenty years. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。