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| 題 名 | 從威脅平衡理論探討日本以QUAD因應中共威脅的可能性=Exploring the Possibility of Japan's Response to China's Threats through the QUAD from the Balance of Threat Theory |
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| 作 者 | 朱祥中 ; 黃世墉; | 書刊名 | 安全與情報研究 |
| 卷 期 | 8:1 2025.01[民114.01] |
| 頁 次 | 頁111-169 |
| 分類號 | 578.31 |
| 關鍵詞 | 日本; 中共; 四方安全對話; 中日關係; 威脅平衡; Japan; China; QUAD; China-Japan relations; Balance of threat; |
| 語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
| 中文摘要 | 本文透過威脅平衡理論探討日本如何應對中共在軍事與經濟 的戰略威脅。基於《2024 亞洲國力指數》,對「中」日的軍事及 經濟實力進行描述性分析和比較,檢驗 QUAD 能否有效減緩日本 對中共威脅的感知,並指出威脅主要是中共的地理鄰近性、綜合 國力增長、攻擊性力量強化及攻擊意圖,尤其是中共於東海、南 海及臺海的軍事擴張行動與全球供應鏈的經濟影響力,對日本的 國家安全構成壓力。研究結果指出,QUAD 在軍演、技術合作及 供應鏈多元化等方面的合作,增強日本在軍事嚇阻、經濟韌性及 區域戰略穩定性等方面的相對國力,且日本透過外交、經濟和軍 事合作,平衡 QUAD 成員在政策及利益的差異,推動組織未來發 展,以持續有效地應對中共在印太地區的影響力。 |
| 英文摘要 | This paper explores how Japan responds to the strategic threats posed by China in the military and economic domains through the lens of threat-balancing theory. Based on the 2024 Asia Power Index, a descriptive analysis and comparison of the military and economic capabilities of China and Japan is conducted. The study examines whether the QUAD can effectively mitigate Japan’s perception of threats from China and identifies the primary sources of these threats, which include China’s geographical proximity, growth in comprehensive national power, enhancement of offensive capabilities, and aggressive intentions. Particular attention is given to China’s military expansion in the East China Sea, South China Sea, and Taiwan Strait, as well as its economic influence on global supply chains, which collectively exert pressure on Japan’s national security. The findings indicate that the QUAD’s collaborations in areas such as joint military exercises, technological cooperation, and supply chain diversification will enhance Japan’s relative power in terms of military deterrence, economic resilience, and regional strategic stability. Furthermore, Japan utilizes diplomatic, economic, and military cooperation to reconcile policy and interest differences among QUAD members, promoting the organization’s future development to effectively counter China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific region. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。