查詢結果分析
來源資料
頁籤選單縮合
| 題 名 | 以色列-哈瑪斯衝突中情報成敗之探討=An Assessment of Intelligence Successes and Failures in the Israel-Hamas Conflict |
|---|---|
| 作 者 | 王政; | 書刊名 | 遠景基金會季刊 |
| 卷 期 | 25:4 2024.10[民113.10] |
| 頁 次 | 頁53-111 |
| 分類號 | 599.7 |
| 關鍵詞 | 情報失敗; 哈瑪斯; 奇襲; 反情報; 預警情報; Intelligence failure; Hamas; Surprise attack; Counterintelligence; Warning intelligence; |
| 語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
| 中文摘要 | 2023年10月7日哈瑪斯對以色列發動奇襲,舉世震驚,哈瑪斯奇襲奏效的關鍵包括全方位的情報蒐集能力大為提升,內部安全機關組織嚴密,反情報作為不僅成功躲避了以色列的科技監控,更以雙面間諜、欺敵等攻勢手段,削弱對手的情報能力。以色列則再度應驗了「情報失敗無法避免」的論點,究其原因,包括情報蒐集未能發揮效果,低估哈瑪斯的軍事能力和誤判其真實意圖,缺乏具體確切的預警情報,軍文關係的對立影響情報效能,政治紛擾動盪更激發了對手的攻擊信念。 |
| 英文摘要 | On October 7, 2023, to global astonishment, Hamas launched a surprise attack against Israel. The key to Hamas's successful strike included the group's greatly improved all-source intelligence collection capabilities and its well-organized internal security agencies. Moreover, Hamas's counterintelligence operations had effectively evaded Israel's technological surveillance, and its offensive counterintelligence measures such as double-agent and deception further weakened the opponent's intelligence capabilities. Unfortunately, Israel has invariably proved the prophecy that "intelligence failures are inevitable." The causes of intelligence failures include ineffective intelligence collection, the underestimation of Hamas's military capabilities, wrong perception of the enemy's intentions, and the lack of concrete and precise warning intelligence. Finally, the rivalry between military and civilian has weakened Israel's intelligence capabilities, and domestic political turmoil also encouraged the attack. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。