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題名 | 溫室氣體排放與潛在環境成本效益評估模型:以TFT-LCD產業為例=An Evaluation Model for TFT-LCD Industry Green House Gas Emissions |
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作 者 | 蕭志同; 張瑞芬; 鐘宛芩; 張力元; 歐嘉瑞; 葉豐銘; | 書刊名 | 臺灣能源期刊 |
卷期 | 1:2 2014.03[民103.03] |
頁次 | 頁245-257 |
分類號 | 445.9 |
關鍵詞 | 溫室氣體; 碳稅; 碳權; 系統動態學; TFT-LCD產業; Greenhouse gas; System dynamics; TFT-LCD industry; |
語文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 自工業革命、電力應用、汽車與航空運輸等產業的崛起,人類的活動大量排放溫室氣體,導致地球暖化與氣候變遷,並對於全球經濟產生衝擊與損失。因此在因應京都議定書與因應氣候變遷的政策下,除全球政府逐漸制定相關溫室氣體排放與節能的法規外,在非政府組織的倡議下,「碳揭露計畫組織」邀請全球500大企業進行相關問卷調查,公開企業本身營運的溫室氣體排放。然而,此會影響企業持續發展的風險與營運成本之增加,使得企業作經營決策時更加困難。本研究透過系統動態學方法論,建構臺灣TFT-LCD製造業之產量成長與溫室氣體排放之成本效益分析模型。配合現有亞洲溫室氣體排放法規與臺灣、韓國、日本廠商之減量模式,進行情境模擬。以了解不同情境下之環境成本評估,增加學術界與實務界對於臺灣高科技產業之溫室氣體減量方案效果的了解。 |
英文摘要 | The industrial revolution signaled the start of the emission of large amounts of greenhouse gas which over the centuries has led to global warming and climate change. The Kyoto Protocol has introduced adjustment policies to reduce climate change, control greenhouse gas emissions, and save energy consumption for the signatories of the agreement. Globally, there are more than 500 companies, surveyed by the Carbon Disclosure Project, that report their corporate operational greenhouse gas inventories and promote carbon disclosure practices to downstream suppliers. However, the new greenhouse gas emissions regulations and taxes impact sustainable development and also increase enterprise risks and operating costs. In addition to economic risks, enterprises face environmental risks caused by climate changes (e.g., severe global weather changes) that make business operations more challenging. In this study, data are collected to model the existing industrial product demands and greenhouse gas emissions data for the Taiwan TFT-LCD industry. System Dynamics (SD) models are used to forecast the business sector growth and related greenhouse gas emission. The case analysis aligns with the scenarios of carbon emissions regulations and taxation as well as Asian competitors’ carbon reduction plans. The SD simulations assess the viability of investment plans for greenhouse gas reduction programs. The TFT-LCD industry is the focus of study since it is a critical sector of Taiwan’s export manufacturing industry. Normal operations from the TFT-LCD industry provide benchmark data for the SD model. The scenario simulation model is adapted to mimic the reduction plans of similar industries in Taiwan, Korea and Japan. The simulated scenarios are evaluated in terms of their potential environmental impacts and costs. Finally, the assessment of greenhouse gas emission programs is used as a reference to support regional emission reduction policy decision making in the TFT-LCD manufacturing sector. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。