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題名 | Reality and Implications of ECFA=ECFA的政經現實與意涵 |
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作者 | 洪財隆; Hong, Tsai-lung; |
期刊 | 亞太研究論壇 |
出版日期 | 20120600 |
卷期 | 56 2012.06[民101.06] |
頁次 | 頁71-101 |
分類號 | 558.52 |
語文 | eng |
關鍵詞 | 兩岸經濟合作架構協議; 世界貿易組織; 自由貿易協定; 授權條款; 通報; ECFA; WTO; FTA; Enabling Clause; Notification; |
中文摘要 | 台灣加入WTO 的入會承諾當中,並沒有完全讓最大貿易夥伴的中 國適用,兩岸經貿關係尚未正常化。兩岸卻洽簽超越WTO 最惠國待遇 的ECFA,台灣必須同時處理兩岸經貿正常化(WTO 自由化的「延遲給 付」)與更進一步的自由化,面臨時間壓縮壓力。 ECFA 以架構協議為本,加上早收清單先行的逐步到位洽簽模式, 的確為兩岸的制度 安排帶來彈性,卻也導致ECFA 現階段很難向WTO 完成正式通報的困境。ECFA 定義上 仍屬於「兩岸事務」,國際規範部 分則依然懸而未決。 |
英文摘要 | China has been the primary trading partner with Taiwan since 2000, suggesting that, from an economic perspective, ECFA is the most significant agreement Taiwan has signed. However, China has never abandoned attempts to annex Taiwan, suggesting that it might be not appropriate to evaluate the influence of ECFA purely from an economic perspective. From the viewpoint of economic strategy, the worst case scenario would be a situation in which Taiwan still unable to sign FTAs with its major trading partners after signing ECFA. ECFA is a “Framework Agreement” plus “Early Harvest Program” with a list of limited products to liberalize. This implies that the economic impacts of ECFA will depend on the outcomes of the subsequent negotiations, in which is difficult because Taiwan has banned more than 2,200 Chinese agricultural and industrial items from importing. Besides, Taiwan might find it difficult to comply fully with the WTO rules imposed on developed members engaging in regional trade agreements, particularly the criteria of “substantially all the trade” (SAT) in products originating in the partner’s territory since there is no “plan and schedule” in the legal text of ECFA. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。