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題名 | 開放陸客來臺觀光對我國經濟影響之一般均衡分析=The Impacts of the Opening for Tourists from Mainland China on Taiwan's Economy |
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作者 | 張淑滿; Chang, Shu Man; |
期刊 | 臺北海洋技術學院學報 |
出版日期 | 20110900 |
卷期 | 4:2 2011.09[民100.09] |
頁次 | 頁123-144 |
分類號 | 992.1 |
語文 | chi |
關鍵詞 | 陸客; 觀光; 一般均衡分析; Cross-strait; Tourism; GTAP; |
中文摘要 | 本文透過GTAP 模擬開放陸客來臺觀光對臺灣之經濟影響為:1.對總體經濟影響:實質GDP 增加78.656百萬美元;社會福利增加339.401百萬美元。2.對個別產業影響:產值增加最多的是貿易業,約407.488百萬美元,增加0.637 %;其他製造業的產出減少最多,減少了1747.406百萬美元,約0.628 %;臺灣各產業的出口均減少,減少最多的是對中國的出口量減少了558.039百萬美元;臺灣進口增加的來源,主要來自於歐盟及美國分別增加了46.642百萬美元及44.762百萬美元。 |
英文摘要 | This paper assesses the economy-wide impacts of opening for Mainland Chinese tourists’ policy via simulation using GTAP model. It is concluded that 1. the macro-economy will benefit from the increment of real GDP by US$78.656 millions, and the increase of social welfare by US$339.401 millions; and 2.the impacts on individual industries include the production value increase of trade products by US $407.488 millions which is the largest among all the industries, the decrease in other manufactory product value by US$1747.406 millions which is the largest decrease, the decrease in exports to Mainland China by US$558.039 millions which is the largest among all the nations, and the increase in Taiwanese imports mainly due to the increase of imports from EU and USA by US$46.642 millions and 44.762 millions, respectively. |
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