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題 名 | 進口對中國經濟增長影響的實證研究=An Empirical Analysis on Impact of Imports on China's Economic Growth |
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作 者 | 張曉濤; 劉佩; 聶石開; | 書刊名 | WTO研究 |
卷 期 | 8 2007[民96] |
頁 次 | 頁59-88 |
分類號 | 558.52 |
關鍵詞 | 進口; 經濟增長; 商品結構; 協整分析; Granger因果性檢驗; Import; Economic growth; Merchandise structure; Co-integration test; Granger causality test; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 隨著經濟全球化的逐步深入,對外貿易已經成為當今經濟研究的熱點問題。但由於出口對經濟增長的促進作用較為顯著,人們普遍關注於出口或淨出口,而忽略了進口對經濟增長的影響。但從長期來看,這種觀點是不完整的。經濟增長的根本性因素在於要素供給的增加和全要素生產率的提高,而這些都與進口有著十分密切的關係。 因此,本文運用理論分析與實證檢驗相結合的方法研究進口對經濟增長的影響:通過 E-G ( Engle-Granger )和 Johansen “雙協整”分析法檢驗進口總額進口結構與 GDP 的關係,並從理論上分析進口促進經濟增長的傳導機制,全面評價進口在國民經濟發展中的地位與作用。 |
英文摘要 | As economic globalization is gradually deepening, foreign trade is coming into an important issue for academic research. But because of the prominent function of export in promoting economic growth, people usually pay great attention to export, while neglecting the effect of import on macroeconomics. However in the long run, this point of view is not integrated. The main causes for economic growth are the increased supply of factor endowment and the improvement of TFP (Total Fact Productivity), which are closely connected with import. Accordingly, this article is committed to study the impact of import on the economic growth through theoretical analysis and empirical test (E-G Co-integration test and Johansen Co-integration test), which can give out an all-sided value of import during the development of national economy. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。