頁籤選單縮合
題 名 | 九一一事件對美國全球戰略的影響與我國的因應之道=R.O.C.'s Response to the Change of U.S. Global Strategy After 11 September |
---|---|
作 者 | 廖天威; | 書刊名 | 國際事務季刊 |
卷 期 | 2 民91.春 |
頁 次 | 頁26-40 |
專 輯 | 九一一事件後的國際新局勢 |
分類號 | 578.18 |
關鍵詞 | 911事件; 美國全球戰略; 臺海安全; September 11 incident; US global strategy; Taiwan security; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 美國自二次大戰以後,歷任政府的亞洲政策路線,均不斷反映「理想主義」(Idealism)和「現實主義」(Realism)之間的糾結與辯證關係。「911事件」發生之後,美國的全球戰略思維作了一些關鍵性的調整,包括美國「四年國防評估報告」的發布與宣佈退出ABM條約。美國在「反恐戰爭」與ABM的後續發展上,卻更值得觀察與注意。尤其美國在諸多不得不然的政治考量下,作出退出ABM的決定,目前所必須承擔的風險均已清楚浮現,未來或許將付出更高的政治與戰略代價,使國際間承擔更多不可知的風險。目前臺海兩岸之間的局面,雖然未有上綱至政治衝突的爭議事件發生,但是長久緊繃的關係,若在可預見的將來仍然處於「不戰不和」、「不談判、不接觸」、「沒有共識、沒有交集」的政策僵局,則難保一旦緊張關係升高,將立即頓失向後轉圜的空間。臺灣在此關鍵時期,必須謹守分寸,嚴密推演國家安全戰略的互動機制,整合國防、外交、情報等體系的綜合研析,避免誤解情勢,錯估全局。 |
英文摘要 | Since WWⅡ, We have heared the voices of Idealism and Realism competing in the United States administration on Asian policy. After the incident of September 11, the United States has made some crucial adjustments on it's global strategic concepts, which revealed in its latest Quadrennial Defense Review Report and strengthened by its withdrawal from ABM Treaty. However, The risks for the consequences of Anti-Terrorism was and the withdrawal from ABM Treaty are gradually emerged. In the future, the United States might pay higher price for this and put many unforeseen risks to international community. Currently there is no sign of immediate controversial incident occurred across Taiwan Strait. But in the foreseeable future, if the situation is still at an impasse of no contact, there will be limited room for negotiation when the political tension escalated across the strait. In this crucial moment, Republic of China should cautiously move with propriety, enhance the interactions among national security establishments, and integrate the systems of defense, foreign affairs and intelligence to avoid misunderstanding and miscalculation. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。