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題名 | 非核家園願景下我國能源結構之探討 |
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作者 | 莊世明; 蔡志亮; 莊銘池; | 書刊名 | 能源季刊 |
卷期 | 33:4 2003.10[民92.10] |
頁次 | 頁2-15 |
分類號 | 554.68 |
關鍵詞 | 非核家園; 能源結構; Nuclear-Free homeland; Energy mix; |
語文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 我國整體能源未來發展,應兼顧國家經濟、社會發展、世界潮流及國際公約精神,在能源不虞匱乏的前提下,規劃國家總體能源發展方向,務期能使我國逐步走向非核家國的終極目標。本文利用臺灣MARKAL-MACRO能源工程與經濟模型及其能源技術資料庫,探討非核家園情景下,對我國至2020年能源結構的的及與能源使用有關之二氧化碳排放的變化。結果顯示在核能電廠除役後,多由燃煤及燃氣電廠所取代,也導致二氧化碳排放量的增加。 |
英文摘要 | The future planning of the country's overall energy development should, on the premise of maintaining a constant and sufficient supply of energy, take into account such relevant factors as the national economy, social development, global trends, and the spirit of international treaties, to achieve the country's ultimate goal of building a nuclear-free homeland. This paper uses the MARKAL-MACRO energy engineering model to simulate the nuclear-free homeland strategy's impacts on future energy mix and energy related CO2 emission in 2020. the analysis shows that, by acting economically rational, unclear power plant should be replaced by coal and natural gas ones leading to a substantial increase of CO2 emissions. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。