頁籤選單縮合
題 名 | 臺北市公私立高中及高職招生情境分析初探=Scenario Analysis of Admission Capacity of Senior High Schools and Vocational Schools in Taipei City |
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作 者 | 譚以敬; | 書刊名 | 初等教育學刊 |
卷 期 | 15 2003.08[民92.08] |
頁 次 | 頁157-175 |
分類號 | 523.7711 |
關鍵詞 | 情境分析; 招生容量; 後期中等教育; 高級中學; 高級職業學校; Scenario analysis; Admission capacity; The secondary education; Senior high schools; Vocational schools; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 高中和高職容量比,早期受到經建發展對基層技術人力需求的影響,從原本的6:4一直調整,最高曾達到3:7的比例。惟近年來在面臨有關產業變遷及人口遞減等因素影響下,後期中等教育正處於轉型階段,到底高中與高職未來的招生會如何發展,值得關注。本文採情境分析法,以臺北市為例,從國中畢業學生數、國中生選讀高中職校情形、高中高職招生情彤、高中高職學生未來升學與就業進路及教育人力結構與就業市場需求等幾個與招生有關層面,探討及分析未來招生可能的發展情況,建構臺北市未來高中高職可能之招生情境。文末並據此提出相關因應建議作結。 |
英文摘要 | In the earlier years, the admission ratio of senior high schools and vocational schools changed from 6:4 to 3:7 for the manpower demand. Recently, because of the changing market and the diminishing population, the secondary education has to transform. It's worth realizing the future development of admission market of the secondary education. This paper uses the scenario analysis to explore the above questions by examining several related aspects including: the number and status of graduates from junior and senior high schools, the current admission situation of senior high schools and vocational schools, the supply and demand between the market of education and manpower. According to the above findings, this author constructs the possible admission scenarios in Taipei City and proposes several suggestions for the educational administration authorities. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。