查詢結果分析
來源資料
頁籤選單縮合
題 名 | 包含失業隔閡之總供需估測模型=Taiwan Macro-econometric Model with Unemployment Gap |
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作 者 | 吳中書; 高志祥; 蘇文瑩; 陳雅玫; 單易; 王淑娟; 蔡秀慧; 黃純宜; 羅雅惠; | 書刊名 | 臺灣經濟預測與政策 |
卷 期 | 33:1 2002.10[民91.10] |
頁 次 | 頁111-160 |
分類號 | 551.2 |
關鍵詞 | 總體計量模型; 潛在產出; 無通膨預期失業率; 膨脹缺口; 擴大內需; NAIRU; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 本文參考詹維玲等(1999)及吳中書等(1998) 之總供需估測模型,擴充生產面設定,並加入代表勞動供給的勞動參與率函數,嘗試估計我國之無通膨失業率;再透過兩要素的生產函數,推估潛在產出,建構一個包含需求面與生產面行為之總合供需模型。除用於基準預測外,本文亦應用此模型對政府執行擴大內需政策的總體經濟效果進行模擬分析。 |
英文摘要 | To strengthen the framework of Taiwan's macro-econometric model, we modify the aggregate supply and labor market sectors of the simultaneous equation systems by Chan et al.(1999) and Wu et al. (1998), consider functions of labor force participation as labor supply, and estimate Taiwan's Non-accelerating Inflation Rates of Unemployment (NAIRU), which are introduced into aggregate production function to evaluate Taiwan's potential GDP. In addition to project the benchmark forecasts of Taiwan economy, this revised model is also used to assess the macroeconomic effects when the domestic demand expansion policy is undertaken. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。