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題名 | 俄羅斯千禧年總統選舉研究=A Study on Russia's 2000 Presidential Elections |
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作者 | 王定士; | 書刊名 | 中山人文社會科學期刊 |
卷期 | 8:2=19 2000.12[民89.12] |
頁次 | 頁35-62 |
分類號 | 574.485521 |
關鍵詞 | 總統選舉; 普欽; 金融寡頭; 媒體炒作; 克里姆林宮政治; Presidential elections; Putin; Financial oligarchs; Mass media effect; Kremlin politics; |
語文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 本文的目的是在透過克里姆林宮政治研究途徑探討俄羅斯2000年的總統選舉。本 文試圖回答下列問題:影響俄羅斯 2000 年總統選舉的主要致勝因素是什麼?本文認為,支 持普欽的克里姆林宮主流政治勢力,利用國會下院選舉結果所造成的有利形勢,給合金融寡 頭勢力,透過媒體炒作,形塑普欽英明果斷親民愛國的正面形象,以爭取選民認同,是普欽 贏得 2000 年俄羅斯總統選戰的決勝關鍵。茲分述如下:(�C)普欽的勝選,乃是歸因於他 的正面訴求-重振大國雄風與重建法治秩序-深得選民的認同。(二)國內政治生態效應- 國會下院「國家杜馬」選舉結果,西瓜偎大邊效應的衝擊,反對派整合失敗以及葉爾欽因素 -對普欽勝選造成有利形勢。(三)支持普欽的俄羅斯財團所操控的媒體,成功塑造了普欽 的正面形象,是決定普欽勝選的關鍵。(四)普欽新政府將把工作重心放在推動經濟改革。 同時,他將會賡續葉爾欽聯合中國抗衡美國的東西平衡穩健務實對外政策路線。 |
英文摘要 | The purpose of this study is to explore Russia's 2000 presidential elections through Kremlin politics approach. It is attempted in this study to answer the following question: what were the key factors that led to Putin's overwhelming victory in the elections? It is hypothesized in this study that the key factors that led to Putin's overwhelming victory in the elections are the efforts made by the main-stream Kremlin forces supporting Putin to win the support from the electorate by creating through mass media an assertive, positive image under the favorable situation created by the results of the December 1999 elections to the State Duma. Here are some sub-propositions: (1) Putin's overwhelming victory is better attributed to his positive appeals; efforts to restore the status of a great power and to reestablish a lawful social order; (2) The domestic political ecological effects were favorable to Putin: including the impact of the results of the December 1999 elections to the State Duma, the unsuccessful attempt by the opposition camp to integrate their forces and the Yeltsin effects; (3) A positive image is successfully created by the mass media controlled by the pro-Putin financial oligarchs; and (4) In the future, Putin's new regime will concentrate on economic reforms and will continue Yeltsin's pragmatic, balanced foreign policy line, i.e., a policy of maintaining a strategic partnership with China against the US domination. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。