查詢結果分析
來源資料
頁籤選單縮合
題名 | 應用灰色理論預測農作物之價格--以紅豆為例=Application of Gray Theory to Predict Prices of Agricultural Products--A Case of Adzuki Beans |
---|---|
作者 | 李宗儒; 鄭卉方; Lee, Tzong-ru; Cheng, Hui-fang; |
期刊 | 農林學報 |
出版日期 | 20000600 |
卷期 | 49:2 2000.06[民89.06] |
頁次 | 頁83-92 |
分類號 | 431.26 |
語文 | chi |
關鍵詞 | 灰色理論; 紅豆; 價格預測; Gray theory; Adzuki beans; Price prediction; |
中文摘要 | 本研究主要目的透過灰色理論(Gray Theory)預測出下一期農作物的價格,以解決農 作物產銷結構中,因預測價格所需時間過長,而影響至農民生產產量侑其價格之問題,研究 中以「紅豆」為例。研究結果發現:利用85年5月至8月四筆紅豆價格資料便可預測出9月 紅豆價格,且其與實際資料物合度高,驗證灰色理論於於預測農作物價格之便利性,而此資 料亦可讓生產者、批發商、政府三方面在生產數量、訂價及制訂政策上有所助益。 |
英文摘要 | The purpose of this research is to forecast the prices of the agricultural products by using Gray theory. In this research, Adzuki Beans is our research object. We use four consecutive months data to forecast the price of Adzuki Beans next month. After our calculation, we find that the forecasted price is close to the real price. It implies that Gray theory is covenient to forecast prices of agricultural products. We hope that farmers, wholesalers, and government officers can get benefits in determining the scale, pricing, and setting policies from the results of Gray theory. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。