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題 名 | 老農福利津貼制度永續性之初探=A Study on the Sustainability of the Old-Age Farmers Welfare Allowance Scheme |
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作 者 | 陳琇惠; | 書刊名 | 臺大社會工作學刊 |
卷 期 | 35 2017.06[民106.06] |
頁 次 | 頁1-45 |
分類號 | 544.84 |
關鍵詞 | 老農福利津貼; 時間序列方法; 普及式; 資產調查式; Old-age farmer welfare allowance; Time series analysis; Universal program; Means-test program; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 自 2008年 10月 1日實施國民年金保險制度之後,臺灣的老年所得保障制度,以社會保險制度為主流的保障形式,只有農民的老年所得保障不在其中,其係以福利津貼的形式,提供免繳費制的給付,此制度已實施 20年,過去的 16年為普及式發給,近 4年才修改為資產調查式,本研究的主要目的在探討此福利津貼型態的永續性,並以時間序列方法預測未來的財務負擔,資料來源為勞動部勞工保險局 2007年 1月至 2015年 4月每月老農福利津貼支出金額之統計資料,共計 100筆觀察值,預測未來 8年財務負擔趨勢,並進一步分析其存續的困難問題及永續性發展的建議方向。 |
英文摘要 | Since the Taiwan government implemented the National Pension System on October 1, 2008, its old-age pension has established a social insurance system as its main support type. However, farmers’ old-age pensions were not included in this program, but rather were allocated as a non-contributory benefit. This 20-year scheme was disbursed universally for 16 years; however, for the last four years, the welfare allowance has been modified into a means-tested program. This study examined the type and sustainability of this non-contributory welfare benefit, using the time series analysis method to forecast future financial expenditures. The monthly spending data on the old-age farmers welfare allowance program from January 2007 to April 2015 were collected from the Bureau of Labor Insurance of the Ministry of Labor; it comprised a total of 100 observations. An 8-year trend of financial expenditure was estimated. In addition, the program’s sustainable problems were analyzed, and possible system reforms recommended. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。