頁籤選單縮合
題名 | A Game-Theory Model of Democratization and Political Reform in Hong Kong |
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作者 | Wong, Mathew Y. H.; | 書刊名 | Taiwan Journal of Democracy |
卷期 | 12:2 2016.12[民105.12] |
頁次 | 頁127-154 |
分類號 | 574.281 |
關鍵詞 | China; Democratization; Game theory; Hong Kong; Transition; |
語文 | 英文(English) |
英文摘要 | This essay analyzes three attempts at political reform in post-handover Hong Kong by adapting game-theory models in studies of democratization. By modeling the strategic interactions and preferences of Beijing and the local democratic forces, the outcome of the political reform efforts are explained. As a conditioning factor in the model, it is argued that the strong strength of civil society in 2005 and 2015 ruled out any possible negotiation between the Beijing and the democrats, resulting in deadlocks and the eventual rejection of the proposals. In contrast, the weaker and apolitical nature of civil society in 2010 allowed moderate democrats to reach an agreement with Beijing over a proposed reform. This essay carries significant implications for Hong KongBeijing interactions, the political development of Hong Kong, as well as the literature on democratization. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。