頁籤選單縮合
題 名 | Study of Export and Import Production Value and Domestic Market Forecasting for Taiwan Bicycle |
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作 者 | Shih, Ming-haur; | 書刊名 | Journal of Grey System |
卷 期 | 13:1 2010.03[民99.03] |
頁 次 | 頁41-47 |
分類號 | 484.32 |
關鍵詞 | GM(1,1); Bicycle industry; Domestic market production; |
語 文 | 英文(English) |
英文摘要 | This research was designed to evaluate the accuracy of the GM (1, 1). Taiwan’s bicycle industry was the background of this research; based on which we have analyzed the production, import and export volume, and the development of the domestic bicycle industry since year 2000. The article began with a description of the bicycle industry in Taiwan, followed by an introduction to The grey system theory and the fundamental concepts of the GM (1, 1). Statistics related to domestic and foreign productions, and the import and export volumes of Taiwan's bicycle industry in recent years were analyzed using the GM (1, 1); the accuracy of the estimated results was tested using the MAPE method. Our MAPE test revealed only a 1.13% difference between the formulated and projected domestic market value. The result indicated that Taiwan's bicycle industry continues to grow, and will provide a useful reference for industry participants and the relevant authorities regarding the development of Taiwan's bicycle industry. |
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