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題名 | 農業氣象資訊在專家決策系統之應用與發展方向=Applications and Directions of Using Agrometeorological Information in Agricultural Decision Expert System |
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作者姓名(中文) | 申雍; 陳守泓; | 書刊名 | 作物、環境與生物資訊 |
卷期 | 3:1 民95.03 |
頁次 | 頁51-63 |
分類號 | 430.1637 |
關鍵詞 | 專家系統; 資料庫; 知識經濟; 農業生產; 氣象災害; Expert system; Database; Knowledge-based economy; Agricultural production; Agrometeorological disaster; |
語文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 摘要 專家系統具有整合、累積領域專家之知 識與經驗的功能,將會逐漸被使用於與農業 生產活動中各類需要進行判斷與抉擇的工 作。農業氣象子系統是農業專家決策系統中 重要的一環,若專家決策系統能依據各地區 氣候之特性、遭受氣象災害損失的風險評 估、以及相關防護和改良措施之經濟效益評 估,並配合土壤特性、現有栽培面積和市場 行情預測方面的資訊,提供具潛力的作物名 單供農會和農友選擇,又能提供適當的栽培 管理措施指導、運銷體系規劃等之建議,不 僅可以減少市場供需不平衡的發生機會,達 到穩定農產品價格的目的;對於農友開發新 產品,滿足國人對於產品多樣化的要求也會 有所助益。為完成上述之構想,目前已完成 農業氣象資料庫及相關查詢介面之建置工 作,可提供有關地區氣候特性、農業氣象災 害發生頻率及簡易的災害風險和經濟效益評 估等資訊;也已開發作物和土壤方面的資料 庫及相關查詢介面,可提供作為推薦適栽作 物的基礎。期盼能有更多的同好參與,增加 資料庫內的基礎資料和相關專家知識,並繼 續擴增可用資料庫的種類,共同為朝向建置 一個具整合型功能的農業專家決策系統努 力。 |
英文摘要 | ABSTRACT Expert systems, being capable of integrating and accumulating the knowledge and experiences of domain experts, will gradually be applied in many agricultural activities requiring decisionmaking. Agrometeorological subsystem is an important portion of an agricultural decision expert system. Based on information regarding climatic characteristics, risks of agrometeorological disasters, and economical feasibility evaluations of mitigation techniques, in conjunction with other information such as soil characteristics, plantation acreages, market prediction, etc., an agricultural decision expert system may supply a recommendation list to farmers and their associations for selecting potentially profitable crops to produce new product. It is expected that, with proper management guidance and marketing assistance from governmental authorities, agricultural commodity’s price may be stabilized by reducing the chances of having imbalanced production and marketing. The demand of general public to have a variety of new product can also be satisfied.With the above mentioned goals in mind, an agrometeorological subsystem and accompanying crop and soil subsystem have been developed. More cooperated colleagues are welcomed to join the project to develop an integrated agricultural expert management system. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。