頁籤選單縮合
題 名 | 中國大陸生育變遷--七0年代至九0年代=Review and Analysis on Fertility Transition in China |
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作 者 | 方山; | 書刊名 | 中山人文社會科學期刊 |
卷 期 | 8:1=18 2000.06[民89.06] |
頁 次 | 頁35-50 |
分類號 | 542.132 |
關鍵詞 | 生育轉型; 生育率; 粗出生率; 人口老化; 生育政策; Fertility transition; Fertility rate; Crude birth rate; Aging of population; Family planning policy; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 大陸自七○年代生育率開始由高向低轉變。七○年代生育率的 變遷主要是受到制度與人口政策的影響,八○年代主導生育波動起 伏的因素是經濟體制改革的推行和新婚姻法的施行,九○年代則以 經濟改革的進一步推展和市場化逐步的確立帶動經濟發展促使人們 生育觀念的轉變。 在生育率快速下降的同時,人口老化問題成為新的大陸人口問 題,面對人口數量龐大與人口老化加速的兩難問題,中共將採取怎 樣的人口政策,將是觀察二○○○年以後生育趨勢的一項關鍵變數。 就目前人口數量龐大的大陸來說,最佳生育率應是長期保持在更替 水平以下,然後經過緩慢的回升,在未來某個時期再回復到更替水 平。 |
英文摘要 | The Fertility rate of the 1970's in Mainland China had started to decline from high to low. In 70's the factors affect fertility rate are system and population policy. The main factors leading the up and down of the fertility rate in the 80's are reform policy and apply of the New Marriage Act. In the 90's, further economic reform and economic development change people's concept about birth. While the fertility rate is declining at a fast pace, the population is getting older in terms of age. In face with these two serious problems of huge population and population aging, what kind of population policy government is going to adopt would be a crucial variable in the fertility trend after year 2000. A huge population in China, the best fertility rate should maintain below a certain level, go through a gradual increase and then reach the stationary in the future period. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。