查詢結果分析
來源資料
相關文獻
- 增加政府固定投資的經濟影響--投入產出模型與可計算一般均衡模型的比較
- 能源足跡情境分析架構之研提與應用
- 政府提供優惠房貸政策對經濟影響之研究--投入產出模型與可計算一般均衡模型的比較
- 模糊多目標規劃應用於經濟-能源-環境模型之研究
- 水泥業二氧化碳減量模式預測與衝擊評估
- 石化業污染防制投資的經濟效果之計量研究--CGE模型之應用
- 探討產業減污之經濟衝擊與河川品質改善--可計算一般均衡模型之應用
- The Economic Impacts of Global Warming Mitigation Policy on the Taiwan Economy
- 南投縣林業部門綠色功能投入產出之分析
- IMPLAN軟體應用於產業的投入產出分析--以美國的生化柴油(BIODIESEL)產業為例
頁籤選單縮合
題名 | 增加政府固定投資的經濟影響--投入產出模型與可計算一般均衡模型的比較=The Economic Impacts of Increased Government Spending--A Comparison of Input-Output Model and Computable General Equilibrium Model |
---|---|
作者 | 李秉正; | 書刊名 | 農業與經濟 |
卷期 | 28 2002.06[民91.06] |
頁次 | 頁71-95 |
分類號 | 564.2 |
關鍵詞 | 增加政府固定投資; 投入產出分析; 可計算一般均衡模型; 模型比較; Increased government fixed investment; Input-output analysis; Computable general equilibrium model; Model comparison; |
語文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 本研究建立了我國的投入產出模型(input-output model)和可計算一般均衡模型(computable general equilibrium, CGE, model)來評估增加政府固定投資對總體經濟與產業經濟(如農業經濟)的影響,就這兩個模型在理論架構上的差異和實證結果的不同,進行分析比較並提出深入的解釋。研究結果顯示政府增加固定投資對我國總體經濟的衝擊受到所選用的模型的影響相當大,而對個別產業(如農業經濟)也是如此。由本研究晟果我們不難發,產品與要素(勞動與資本)市場是否存在價格的僵固性,要素的總供給是否出限制,都是政府固定投資是否能夠刺激經濟成長與帶動產業發展的決定性因素。I-O模型模擬得到的經濟影響度僅僅能視為極短期的最的帶動效果。當一個的經濟體趨於成熟,市場價何機制演重要角色時候,以凱因斯封閉法所架構的CGE模型對於知期現象也有相當合理的解釋能力。而當研高度開發之經濟體的長期現象時,由於勞動力與資本財已經達到有效利用,一個以古典封閉法架構出的CGE模型會比I-O模型具有更好的解釋能力。 |
英文摘要 | In this research, I constructed a Taiwan input-output (I-O) model and a Taiwan computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to study the economic impacts of increased government spending on the Taiwan economy and its industries. The theoretical structure of these tow models was compared and the differences in their simulation results were addressed in depth. I found that the economic impacts of an increase in government fixed investment are sensitive to the model selected. Especially, the rigidity of prices in commodity and factor (labor and capital) markets and the supply elasticity of factor inputs in inherent in the structure of I-O and CGE models play an important role in the determination of the magnitudes of economic impacts. The research finding indicates that the policy simulation results of an I-O model are best interpreted as the maximal possible short-run impacts on the economy. For a mature economy where markets are well established and price signals are most important information in market transactions, the model simulations based on the CGE model with Keynesian closure may generate acceptable estimates of economic impacts on the economy and reasonable explain the short-run phenomenon in a well-developed economy where all factor inputs are in fixed supply in the long run, a CGE model with neoclassical closure is more suitable than an I-O model in addressing policy issues. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。