頁籤選單縮合
題 名 | 臺灣地區農家所得與消費支出之研究=The Relationship between Farm Family Income and Consumption in Taiwan |
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作 者 | 曾昭玲; | 書刊名 | 世新大學學報 |
卷 期 | 9 1999.10[民88.10] |
頁 次 | 頁145-171 |
分類號 | 431.462 |
關鍵詞 | 臺灣地區; 農家所得; 消費支出; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 隨著我國經濟起飛,傳統以農業為主的經濟社會漸趨轉型,而近期農業產值的急速衰退,走私農產品的充斥,以及政府積極加入世界貿易組織(World Trade Organization,WTO)對農林漁牧業的可預期衝擊,均再再使得農民轉業,農村人口外移及老化,更加速了產業的萎縮,直接影響農家所得及其消費。故本研究於我國尚未正式加入WTO之前,深入探討近二十年來農家所得與消費的關係,及其與不同族群所得之相對性,以供政府主管機關未來在制訂相關農業政策時參考。 研究結果發現,農家消費確實受當期所得與前期消費之明顯影響,符合恆常所得與隨機行走假說之理論推論,故其邊際消費傾向約為0.56,而消費之所得彈性則約為0.9。此外,農家所得與不同族群所得具有高度相關性,且與國內生產毛額具有共整合性;但長期而言,農家所得仍低於非農民、薪資家庭及勞工家庭所得,且低落程度有遞增趨勢,而農家所得的成長率與總禮經濟指標的成長率仍有相當落差,僅為經濟成長率之二分之一。 |
英文摘要 | As our involvement to the international economic society speeds up recently, traditional agricultural economy has experienced periods of rapid recession and stagnation. The structural shocks of the significant decrease of agricultural gross products, the widespread smuggling agricultural products, and the expected effects of our participation in World Trade Organization make farmers change their occupation, migrate out of the county and are getting aged. On the other hand, these shocks also affect farm families' income, and then their consumption, which should prompt a study in a complete and broad perspective. Therefore, this study examines the relationship between farm family income and consumption, and their relative relationship with those of different categories of occupation during the past 20 years, that helps the policymaker devise the effective and precautionary mechanisms and policies to improve our agricultural economy. The empirical results support the permanent income hypothesis and random walk consumption model, that is, the current farm family consumption is influenced by the current income and one-period lagged consumption. Thus, the marginal propensity to consume is 0.56, and the income elasticity of consumption is approximately 0.9. Besides, the farm family income is closely related to the nonfarm, employee and laborer family income, and is cointegrated to gross domestic product; however its level is lower than that of other categories, and its growth rate is only half of that of gross domestic product in the long run. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。