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題 名 | 直接投資對RCA動態效果之研究--臺灣之實證=The Dynamic Effects of FDI on RCA--The Case of Taiwan |
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作 者 | 周文賢; 古金英; | 書刊名 | 亞太管理評論 |
卷 期 | 4:3 1999.09[民88.09] |
頁 次 | 頁271-288 |
分類號 | 563.52 |
關鍵詞 | 外來直接投資; 對外直接投資; 單位產品出口利潤; 動態效果; RCA; Inward FDI; Outward FDI; Par earning of unit product export; Dynamic effects; |
語 文 | 中文(Chinese) |
中文摘要 | 本文利用動態 ARIMA 轉移函數模式之模式辨認、參數估計、預測產生及模式診斷 等步驟,以 1975-1996 年之時間序列資料從事實證檢定。 驗證結果發現,外來直接投資對 於臺灣之 RCA 具有正向的影響,且於落差一期後仍具有相同的解釋力, 但僅屬於邊際的正 向影響效果。 對外直接投資則對於 RCA 在靜態檢定上屬於負面的效果,隱含企業進行海外 投資,為產生企業內貿易之母國與地主國間之輸出替代效果與逆輸入效果。單位產品出口利 潤亦獲證為與 RCA 具顯著的正向統計相關,且對於 RCA 的解釋力最強。 |
英文摘要 | This study used the dynamic ARIMA transfer function model to identify, diagnose and estimate the model based on yearly time series data from 1975-96. From the dynamic perspective the empirical results show that inward FDI had had a positive impact on Taiwan's RCA, and it was still true while inward FDI was lagged one period, though the influential power was marginal. Nevertheless outward FDI had had a negative effects on Taiwan's RCA from a static viewpoint. The implication is that outward FDI produced the replace export effect and adverse import effect of the intra-industry trade behaviors. The explanatory variable “ the par earning of unit product exported ” was also significantly positively related to RCA, and the impact was more powerful than that of the other explanatory variables. |
本系統中英文摘要資訊取自各篇刊載內容。