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頁籤選單縮合
題名 | 藥物濫用者有無繼續施用傾向量表之量化修正研究=The Study for Quantitative Modification of Substance Abuser Reabuse Risk Assessment Scale |
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作者 | 林明傑; Lin, Min-chieh; |
期刊 | 犯罪學期刊 |
出版日期 | 20080600 |
卷期 | 11:1 2008.06[民97.06] |
頁次 | 頁45-74 |
分類號 | 548.82 |
語文 | chi |
關鍵詞 | 毒品犯罪者; 吸毒犯; 藥物濫用; 再犯; 再犯危險評估; 再犯危險因子; Drug abuse; Substance abuse; Recidivism; Risk assessment; Risk marker; |
中文摘要 | 本研究將檢視現行使用之「有無繼續施用傾向評估紀錄表」,以統計精算之方法篩選各變項與再犯毒品犯罪與否之預測力大小,以發展更有科學研究爲基礎之毒品再犯危險評估量表。本研究以台中看守所附設觀察勒戒處所於90年7月、10月及12月出所之受觀察勒戒者爲樣本,追蹤其於95年9月有無再犯情況爲依變項來檢測該表各題項之再犯預測力。研究發現四年內再犯毒品相關罪名之再犯率爲56.9%,曾短期再犯、戒斷症狀、多重藥物使用、注射使用、社會功能及支持系統等六項具有預測力及正相關。本研究以Burgess法分別追蹤一年、二年、三年、及四年及各所篩選顯著之因素建立量表,發現預測效度各爲r=.156(ROC=.611)、r=.162(ROC=.588)、r=.271(ROC=.648)、及r=.391(ROC=.723)。而所修改之量表以預測出所後三與四年之再犯率爲主。相關之建議亦在討論中。 |
英文摘要 | This study was to collect the currently used risk assessment tool to check the predictive validity, and then to establish the more precise re-abuse risk assessment scale. The substance abusers released from Taichung Observation and Rehabilitation House at 3 months of 2001 were observed their traits and were tracked whether they re-abused or not till October, 2006. It was found that the recidivism rate within 4 years after release was 56.9%, and the withdrawal symptom, re-abuse in short, multiple drug abuse, abuse by injection, social function, and support system could significantly predict and correlate to the re-abuse, and prior drug abuse record and the length of abuse term could significantly correlate to the re-abuse. The Pearson's r and ROC of the modified risk assessment scale were found r=.156 (ROC=.611), r=.162(ROC=.588), r=.271(ROC=.648), and r=.391(ROC=.723) for 1, 2, 3, and 4 years, respectively. The new modified risk assessment scale were formed to predict 3 and 4 years after the confined rehabilitation. Suggestions were also presented in this study. |
本系統之摘要資訊系依該期刊論文摘要之資訊為主。